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1.

Introduction

Neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy (NAC) is the

standard treatment in muscle-invasive bladder cancer

(MIBC) prior to radical cystectomy

[1–3]

. Although NAC

improves pathological downstaging and

[5_TD$DIFF]

patient survival,

only approximately 40% of patients experience a major

response, defined as absence of muscle-invasive disease and

lymph node metastasis (

<

pT2 and pN0)

[4]

. Nonresponding

patients are unlikely to derive clinical benefit, are exposed to

substantial toxicity, and experience a delay in definitive local

therapy

[2,3]

. Identification of molecular markers of non-

responsiveness is essential for more precise delivery of care.

Recent analyses suggest that specific mutations, especially in

ERCC2

,

ERBB2

, and DNA repair genes, may predict response

to NAC

[5–8] .

Here we aimed to use RNA expression analysis

for the development of predictive biomarkers.

Recent identification of molecular gene expression

subtypes

[9–13]

and prior work highlighting the clinical

impact of basal MIBC

[14]

have advanced our understanding

of the biology of bladder cancer. Molecular classification

provides a framework for further study and has potential

implications for the clinical management of MIBC. Four

different molecular subtyping schemes have been described

[10–13]

. Each was developed in different patient popula-

tions using unique genomic platforms, and only one was

based on integrative multiplatform genomic analysis

[10]

. Despite these differences, each identifies molecular

phenotypes that share many similarities. They represent a

division into basal and luminal tumors at a higher level, with

different subclassifications that are specific to each system.

Choi et al

[11]

first introduced the concept that

molecular subtypes may predict response to NAC. In three

cohorts with a total of 100 patients, a subset classified as

having ‘‘p53-like’’ tumors demonstrated a lower response

rate to cisplatin-based combination chemotherapy. This

finding has not been validated in additional larger patient

cohorts and has not been investigated with the other

subtyping methods. Furthermore, none of the four subtyp-

ing models is suitable for clinical implementation because

each requires classification of an entire patient cohort in

order to assign an individual patient sample to a subtype.

In this study, we aimed to correlate large multi-

institutional patient cohort outcomes after NAC with

molecular subtyping of pre-NAC specimens according to

four published classification methods: University of North

Carolina (UNC), MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDA), The

Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), and Lund University

[10– 13,15]

. Moreover, we aimed to develop a single-patient

assay based on transcriptomic analysis of transurethral

resection (TUR) specimens that would be suitable for use in

a clinical laboratory setting.

2.

Patients and methods

2.1.

Patient populations

For the discovery NAC cohort, 250 consecutive patients from five

institutions were compiled. MIBC (cT2-4aN0-3M0) was diagnosed by

TUR prior to receiving at least three cycles of NAC. For the validation NAC

cohort, 93 consecutive patients with MIBC from two institutions were

selected, whose characteristics were similar to those of the discovery set.

2.2.

Tissue sampling and gene expression profiling

Whole transcriptome analysis was performed on formalin-fixed,

paraffin-embedded tumor tissue with

[18_TD$DIFF]

GeneChip

1

[19_TD$DIFF]

Human Exon 1.0 ST

Array (Affymetrix) in a Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments

(CLIA)-certified laboratory

[16]

. In total, 223/250 (89%) and 82/93 (88%)

of the discovery and validation NAC cohorts, respectively, passed quality

control (Supplementary Table 1). Microarray data were normalized and

genes summarized using single-channel array normalization

[17] .

2.3.

Datasets from the public domain

For investigation of the prognostic impact of the published methods for

molecular subtyping, the 397 patients without chemotherapy prior to

sample collection from the TCGA bladder urothelial carcinoma were

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis:

Receiver-operating characteristics were

used to determine the accuracy of GSC. The effect of GSC on survival was estimated by Cox

proportional hazard regression models.

Results and limitations:

The models generated subtype calls in expected ratios with high

concordance across subtyping methods. GSC was able to predict four consensus molecular

subtypes with high accuracy (73%), and clinical significance of the predicted consensus

subtypes could be validated in independent NAC and non-NAC datasets. Luminal tumors

had the best OS with and without NAC. Claudin-low tumors were associated with poor OS

irrespective of treatment regimen. Basal tumors showed the most improvement in OS with

NAC compared with surgery alone. The main limitations of our study are its retrospective

design and comparison across

[14_TD$DIFF]

datasets.

Conclusions:

Molecular subtyping may have an impact on patient benefit to NAC. If

validated in additional studies, our results suggest that patients with basal tumors should

be prioritized for NAC. We discovered the first single-sample classifier to subtype MIBC,

which may be suitable for integration into routine clinical practice.

Patient summary:

Different molecular subtypes can be identified in muscle-invasive

bladder cancer. Although cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy improves patient

outcomes, we identified that the benefit is highest in patients with basal tumors. Our

newly discovered classifier can identify these molecular subtypes in a single patient and

could be integrated into routine clinical practice after further validation.

#

2017 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Please visit

www.eu-acme.org/ europeanurology

to read and

answer questions on-line.

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