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We recapitulated similarities between the most recently

discovered claudin-low tumors and TCGA cluster IV

[10,15]

. However, while Kardos et al

[15]

found claudin-

low tumors to be evenly distributed between clusters III and

IV, in our dataset claudin-low tumors were enriched in

cluster IV (75%). Both clusters III and IV are basal tumors

with a strong mesenchymal signature, and both show the

highest degree of immune infiltration. Patients with

claudin-low tumors had the worst prognosis irrespective

of treatment strategy in our analysis, suggesting also that

these patients derived little or no benefit from NAC.

Importantly, although these tumors showed the highest

rate of immune infiltration, the benefit of checkpoint

inhibition was limited in this subtype in the IMvigor 210

[23_TD$DIFF]

and the CheckMate 275 trial

[

[24_TD$DIFF]

18,19]

. These patients should

be targeted with priority for inclusion in clinical trials of

novel agents.

Although we observed clear relationships between OS

after NAC and molecular subtypes, we did not observe a

clear effect on pathological response to NAC. The lack of this

expected association

[4]

may simply be due to sample size

and patient selection, as well as surgical downstaging with

TUR alone. However, our findings resemble those in breast

cancer, where pathological response relates to outcome in

some, but not all, molecular subtypes

[20]

. In our series, the

lack of association between pathological response and OS

was observed primarily in the basal tumors. Prospective

validation in a larger cohort is required to resolve this issue

in MIBC.

Limitations of this study include the retrospective

design. Moreover, our analysis is also confounded by

comparisons between patient cohorts from different

studies. This makes validation in prospectively collected

cohorts necessary. Since the clinical characteristics of the

cohorts used were different and an unknown proportion of

the Lund dataset was not treated with a curative intent, we

were not able to match non-NAC with NAC cohorts to

perform a direct comparison of the impact of NAC between

subtypes. Nonetheless, the relative differences in OS

between subtypes in the NAC and non-NAC settings

suggest a differential impact of the subtypes on outcome

after NAC.

5.

Conclusions

We provide the most compelling data to date that suggest a

relationship between molecular subtypes and response to

cisplatin-based NAC in MIBC. With or without NAC, patients

with luminal tumors do well, implying that NAC is perhaps

unnecessary in this subtype. Immune-infiltrated luminal

tumors appear to have limited benefit from NAC, but have

been shown previously to respond best to checkpoint

inhibition, suggesting an alternative for systemic therapy in

these patients. Claudin-low tumors have the worst outcome

regardless of NAC treatment, and novel therapies are

urgently needed for this patient cohort. The impact of

NAC on OS was greatest in patients with basal tumors,

which raises the hypothesis that these patients should be

prioritized for NAC. These findings require prospective

validation before this single-sample classifier can be used in

clinical practice.

Author contributions:

Peter C. Black had full access to all the data in the

study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the

accuracy of the data analysis.

Study concept and design:

Seiler, Wright, van der Heijden, Douglas,

Dall’Era, Boormans, Davicioni, Black.

Acquisition of data:

Seiler, Erho, Palmer-Aronsten, Buerki, Lam, Davicioni,

Black.

Analysis and interpretation of data:

Seiler, Erho, Ashab, Choeurng, Wang,

Choi, McConkey, Kardos, Sjo¨dahl, Hoadley, Kim, Black.

Drafting of the manuscript:

Seiler, Erho, Wang, Choeurng, Davicioni,

Ashab, Black.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content:

Winters, Douglas, van Rhijn, van de Putte, Kardos, Todenho¨fer, Kiss,

Buerki, Choi, McConkey, Sjo¨dahl, Hoadley, Lerner, Van Kessel, Zwarthoff,

North, Crabb, Sommerlad, Thalmann, Davicioni, Kim, Wright, van der

Heijden, Dall’Era.

Statistical analysis:

Wang, Choeurng.

Obtaining funding:

Davicioni.

Administrative, technical, or material support:

Buerki, Lam, Palmer-

Aronsten, Davicioni.

Supervision:

Black.

Other:

None.

Financial disclosures:

Peter C. Black certifies that all conflicts of interest,

including specific financial interests and relationships and affiliations

relevant to the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript

(eg, employment/affiliation, grants or funding, consultancies, honoraria,

stock ownership or options, expert testimony, royalties, or patents filed,

received, or pending), are the following: Hussam Al Deen Ashab:

Employment GenomeDx. Nicholas Erho: Employment, GenomeDx.

[13_TD$DIFF]

Natalie Q. Wang: Employment, GenomeDx. Voleak Choeurng: Employ-

ment, GenomeDx. Ewan A. Gibb: employment, GenomeDx. Beatrix

Palmer-Aronsten: employment, GenomeDx. Lucia L. Lam: employment,

GenomeDx. Christine Buerki: employment, GenomeDx. Elai Davicioni:

employment, GenomeDx. Seth P Lerner: consulting or advisory role:

Oncogenex, Sitka, Nucleix, Vaxiion, Taris BioMedical, Telesta Therapeu-

tics, UroGen, Ferring. David J. McConkey: stock or other ownership:

ApoCell; patents, royalties, other intellectual property: Pending patent_

UTSC.P1206US. Woonyoung Choi: patents, royalties, other intellectual

property: pending: Methods of characterizing and treating molecular

subset of muscle-invasive bladder cancer. William Y. Kim: patents,

royalties, other intellectual property: pending: BASE47. Simon J. Crabb:

honoraria: Bayer, Astellas Pharma, Janssen; consulting or advisory role:

Bayer, Sanofi, Astellas Pharma, Janssen, Pfizer, Roche. Scott North:

honoraria: Janssen-Ortho, Astellas Pharma, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi

Canada; consulting or advisory role: Janssen Oncology, Astellas Pharma,

Novartis, Sanofi Canada, Pfizer, Roche Canada, Merck, AstraZeneca. Ellen

C. Zwarthoff: honoraria: MDxHealth; patents, royalties, other intellec-

tual property: Erasmus MC. Michiel S. van der Heijden: consulting or

advisory role: Roche/Genentech, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca/MedIm-

mune; travel, accommodations, expenses: Novartis, Astellas Pharma,

MSD Oncology. Peter C. Black: consulting or advisory role: Abbvie,

Astellas Pharma, Janssen Oncology, Amgen, Novartis, BioCancell, Sitka,

Cubist, Bayer, Merck, Sanofi Canada, Biosyent, Ferring, Lilly, Roche

Canada, Spectrum Pharmaceuticals; patents, royalties, other intellectual

property: 1. PCT/CA2014/000787. Canada. 2014-11-03 Cancer Biomark-

ers and Classifiers and uses thereof; 2. #61899648 United States. 2013-

03-13 Bladder cancer signature.

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